Qualification · Qualification 11
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
115.72 – 122.08
48%52%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
249 – 62
Prediction missed · off by 96.7 points
Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 406.9 ±11.7
Season APEX 73Event APEX -14.75Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 192.4Event APEX 131.29Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 141.5Event APEX -0.82Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 193 ±11.7
Season APEX 75.7Event APEX 35.23Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 35.2Event APEX 25.52Rank 30Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 82.1Event APEX 61.33Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4617, 9098, 8089
56
/ 100 compatProjected
115.7 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 4617, 9098, 8089
Auto
27.6 24%
Teleop
63.0 54%
Endgame
26.1 22%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 14%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4308, 6725, 3756
55
/ 100 compatProjected
122.1 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 4308, 6725, 3756
Auto
19.8 17%
Teleop
58.1 49%
Endgame
40.4 34%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 14%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.75 · Blue 1.58
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score115.7pts
Blue projected score122.1pts
Red win probability48%
Event bonus sample156alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 63%, blue 47%
Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -6.4
- Score range
- 83–155
- Upset likelihood
- 48%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
406.9Season APEX193
27.6Auto19.8
63Teleop58.1
26.1Endgame40.4
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 47 | 13 |
| teleop | 113 | 15 |
| endgame | 79 | 19 |
| foul | 10 | 15 |
| total | 249 | 62 |
Result
Final score
249 – 62
Prediction missed · off by 96.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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