Qualification · Qualification 10
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
197.67 – 198.13
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
117 – 439
Prediction correct · off by 160.8 points
Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 270 ±11.7
Season APEX 86.9Event APEX 126.35Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 106.2Event APEX 51.44Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 76.9Event APEX 19.88Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 573.4 ±9.8
Season APEX 99.6Event APEX 16.72Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 170.5Event APEX 55.06Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 303.3Event APEX 126.35Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1334, 11227, 8764
73
/ 100 compatProjected
197.7 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 1334, 11227, 8764
Auto
50.5 26%
Teleop
112.2 58%
Endgame
29.4 15%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 12%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2609, 5409, 4678
78
/ 100 compatProjected
198.1 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 2609, 5409, 4678
Auto
47.8 24%
Teleop
101.6 51%
Endgame
49.8 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 12%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.65 · Blue 1.85
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score197.7pts
Blue projected score198.1pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample156alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 52%, blue 66%
Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 16%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -0.5
- Score range
- 167–229
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
270Season APEX573.4
50.5Auto47.8
112.2Teleop101.6
29.4Endgame49.8
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 14 | 96 |
| teleop | 51 | 267 |
| endgame | 52 | 76 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 117 | 439 |
Result
Final score
117 – 439
Prediction correct · off by 160.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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