Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

277.79 – 276.5

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

273 – 192

Prediction correct · off by 44.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 753 ±9.3

7558ALT-F4

Season APEX 337.3Event APEX 125.92Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9575Silver Robotics

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 23.51Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9785Alectrona

A+

Season APEX 330.4Event APEX 128.36Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 470.4 ±9.8

771SWAT

Season APEX 45.8Event APEX 18.71Rank 29Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3161Tronic Titans

Season APEX 184.5Event APEX 110.17Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7520Team MineKee

Season APEX 240.1Event APEX 147.62Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7558, 9575, 9785

/ 100 compat

Projected

277.8 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 7558, 9575, 9785

Auto

24.4 9%

Teleop

178.2 64%

Endgame

74.3 27%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 771, 3161, 7520

/ 100 compat

Projected

276.5 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 771, 3161, 7520

Auto

40.0 15%

Teleop

172.0 63%

Endgame

60.5 22%

Strengths

· 7520 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.53 · Blue 1.53

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score277.8pts

Blue projected score276.5pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 1.3
Score range: 248–307
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 465 vs event baseline 161.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

753Season APEX470.4

24.4Auto40

178.2Teleop172

74.3Endgame60.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	85
teleop	144	89
endgame	83	18
foul	10	0
total	273	192

Result

Final score

273 – 192

Prediction correct · off by 44.6 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.