Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

316.47 – 180.29

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

414 – 117

Prediction correct · off by 80.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 598.5 ±9.4

6632Northview Robotics

Season APEX 88.7Event APEX -16.2Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2935NACI Robotics

Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 154.53Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1325Inverse Paradox

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 178.14Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 437.3 ±10.4

4069Lo-Ellen Robotics

Season APEX 170.9Event APEX 86.48Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

854Iron Bears

Season APEX 59.5Event APEX 27.25Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1360Orbit Robotics

Season APEX 206.9Event APEX 66.56Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6632, 2935, 1325

/ 100 compat

Projected

316.5 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 6632, 2935, 1325

Auto

60.6 19%

Teleop

192.1 61%

Endgame

59.9 19%

Strengths

· 1325 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4069, 854, 1360

/ 100 compat

Projected

180.3 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4069, 854, 1360

Auto

26.6 16%

Teleop

92.4 55%

Endgame

49.7 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.21 · Blue 0.84

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score316.5pts

Blue projected score180.3pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 136.2
Score range: 151–345
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 531 vs event baseline 160.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

598.5Season APEX437.3

60.6Auto26.6

192.1Teleop92.4

59.9Endgame49.7

8Consistency3

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	82	21
teleop	208	86
endgame	79	10
foul	45	0
total	414	117

Result

Final score

414 – 117

Prediction correct · off by 80.4 pts

Match videos

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