Playoff · Playoff Match 3 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

252.94 – 94.54

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

396 – 76

Prediction correct · off by 80.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 753 ±9.3

7558ALT-F4

Season APEX 337.3Event APEX 118.77Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9575Silver Robotics

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 15.48Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9785Alectrona

A+

Season APEX 330.4Event APEX 118.69Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 295.4 ±10.4

10554Team VIPER

Season APEX 138.6Event APEX 32Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9262Humberside Huskies

Season APEX 98.3Event APEX 45.72Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

919PANTHERA TIGRIS

Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 16.82Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7558, 9575, 9785

/ 100 compat

Projected

252.9 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 7558, 9575, 9785

Auto

21.5 9%

Teleop

160.3 63%

Endgame

70.7 28%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10554, 9262, 919

/ 100 compat

Projected

94.5 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 10554, 9262, 919

Auto

12.2 14%

Teleop

48.3 54%

Endgame

28.2 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.28 · Blue 0.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score252.9pts

Blue projected score94.5pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 158.4
Score range: 66–282
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 472 vs event baseline 159.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

753Season APEX295.4

21.5Auto12.2

160.3Teleop48.3

70.7Endgame28.2

5Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	39	19
teleop	264	35
endgame	88	17
foul	5	5
total	396	76

Result

Final score

396 – 76

Prediction correct · off by 80.8 pts

Match videos

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