Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
324.53 – 42.27
97%3%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
300 – 120
Prediction correct · off by 51.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 598.5 ±9.4
Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 156.78Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 88.7Event APEX -13.52Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 181.27Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 309.9 ±10.4
Season APEX 82Event APEX -3.44Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 111.8Event APEX 35.8Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 116.1Event APEX 9.91Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2935, 6632, 1325
79
/ 100 compatProjected
324.5 pts
~2.5 RP (district)
Teams: 2935, 6632, 1325
Auto
69.3 22%
Teleop
199.7 62%
Endgame
50.7 16%
Strengths
- · 1325 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9659, 1310, 5031
11
/ 100 compatProjected
42.3 pts
~0.5 RP (district)
Teams: 9659, 1310, 5031
Auto
31.9 70%
Teleop
-2.0 0%
Endgame
15.7 34%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.46 · Blue 0.5
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score324.5pts
Blue projected score42.3pts
Red win probability97%
Event bonus sample148alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 44%, blue 40%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 282.3
- Score range
- 14–353
- Upset likelihood
- 3%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
598.5Season APEX309.9
69.3Auto31.9
199.7Teleop-2
50.7Endgame15.7
3Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 31 | 44 |
| teleop | 172 | 50 |
| endgame | 97 | 26 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 300 | 120 |
Result
Final score
300 – 120
Prediction correct · off by 51.1 pts
Match videos
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