Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

324.5342.27

97%3%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

300120

Prediction correct · off by 51.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 598.5 ±9.4
Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 156.78Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 88.7Event APEX -13.52Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 181.27Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 309.9 ±10.4
Season APEX 82Event APEX -3.44Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 111.8Event APEX 35.8Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 116.1Event APEX 9.91Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2935, 6632, 1325
79
/ 100 compat
Projected
324.5 pts
~2.5 RP (district)
Teams: 2935, 6632, 1325
Auto
69.3 22%
Teleop
199.7 62%
Endgame
50.7 16%
Strengths
  • · 1325 anchors offense
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9659, 1310, 5031
11
/ 100 compat
Projected
42.3 pts
~0.5 RP (district)
Teams: 9659, 1310, 5031
Auto
31.9 70%
Teleop
-2.0 0%
Endgame
15.7 34%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.46 · Blue 0.5
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score324.5pts
Blue projected score42.3pts
Red win probability97%
Event bonus sample148alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 44%, blue 40%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
282.3
Score range
14353
Upset likelihood
3%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring
Playoff

Combined score 420 vs event baseline 157.6.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

598.5Season APEX309.9
69.3Auto31.9
199.7Teleop-2
50.7Endgame15.7
3Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto3144
teleop17250
endgame9726
foul00
total300120

Result

Final score

300120

Prediction correct · off by 51.1 pts

Match videos

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