Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

284.98 – 250.93

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

368 – 292

Prediction correct · off by 62 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 753 ±9.3

7558ALT-F4

Season APEX 337.3Event APEX 128.71Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9575Silver Robotics

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 26.05Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9785Alectrona

A+

Season APEX 330.4Event APEX 130.22Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 470.4 ±9.8

771SWAT

Season APEX 45.8Event APEX 9.87Rank 29Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3161Tronic Titans

Season APEX 184.5Event APEX 101.51Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7520Team MineKee

Season APEX 240.1Event APEX 139.55Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7558, 9575, 9785

/ 100 compat

Projected

285 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 7558, 9575, 9785

Auto

29.8 11%

Teleop

171.5 61%

Endgame

78.3 28%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 771, 3161, 7520

/ 100 compat

Projected

250.9 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 771, 3161, 7520

Auto

56.4 23%

Teleop

139.7 58%

Endgame

45.0 19%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.73 · Blue 1.33

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score285pts

Blue projected score250.9pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 34.1
Score range: 221–315
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 660 vs event baseline 166.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

753Season APEX470.4

29.8Auto56.4

171.5Teleop139.7

78.3Endgame45

3Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	63	45
teleop	216	158
endgame	89	89
foul	0	0
total	368	292

Result

Final score

368 – 292

Prediction correct · off by 62 pts

Match videos

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