Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

28.89 – 61.74

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

29 – 197

Prediction correct · off by 67.7 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 211.2 ±11

9262Humberside Huskies

Season APEX 98.3Event APEX 8.57Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5719Pink Titans

Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 19.73Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9782Wextech Titans

Season APEX 47.8Event APEX 0.59Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 447.8 ±9.8

9562Royal Robotics

Season APEX 126.1Event APEX 6.29Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7520Team MineKee

Season APEX 240.1Event APEX 46.88Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2634The Gryphons

Season APEX 81.6Event APEX 8.57Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9262, 5719, 9782

/ 100 compat

Projected

28.9 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9262, 5719, 9782

Auto

6.6 22%

Teleop

0.1 0%

Endgame

23.2 78%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9562, 7520, 2634

/ 100 compat

Projected

61.7 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9562, 7520, 2634

Auto

12.6 20%

Teleop

39.8 63%

Endgame

10.4 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.28 · Blue 1.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score28.9pts

Blue projected score61.7pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -32.8
Score range: 2–89
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 226 vs event baseline 152.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

211.2Season APEX447.8

6.6Auto12.6

0.1Teleop39.8

23.2Endgame10.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	22
teleop	11	127
endgame	4	48
foul	5	0
total	29	197

Result

Final score

29 – 197

Prediction correct · off by 67.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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