Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

105.38 – 411.06

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

86 – 343

Prediction correct · off by 43.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 331.7 ±10.4

3161Tronic Titans

Season APEX 184.5Event APEX 103.08Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6632Northview Robotics

Season APEX 88.7Event APEX -12.88Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

919PANTHERA TIGRIS

Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 15.18Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 726.1 ±9.8

2935NACI Robotics

Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 158.04Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9785Alectrona

A+

Season APEX 330.4Event APEX 128.56Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4039MakeShift Robotics

Season APEX 199.5Event APEX 124.46Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3161, 6632, 919

/ 100 compat

Projected

105.4 pts

~0.4 RP (district)

Teams: 3161, 6632, 919

Auto

26.5 26%

Teleop

70.3 68%

Endgame

6.5 6%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2935, 9785, 4039

/ 100 compat

Projected

411.1 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 2935, 9785, 4039

Auto

59.1 15%

Teleop

260.4 64%

Endgame

86.0 21%

Strengths

· 2935 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.42 · Blue 2.64

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score105.4pts

Blue projected score411.1pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -305.7
Score range: 74–442
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 429 vs event baseline 172.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

331.7Season APEX726.1

26.5Auto59.1

70.3Teleop260.4

6.5Endgame86

9Consistency21

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	38
teleop	60	237
endgame	6	68
foul	10	0
total	86	343

Result

Final score

86 – 343

Prediction correct · off by 43.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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