Qualification · Qualification 58

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

56.96 – 303.36

4%96%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

27 – 425

Prediction correct · off by 75.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 266.5 ±10.4

5031Full Metal Mustangs

Season APEX 116.1Event APEX 12.42Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9575Silver Robotics

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 18.23Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5719Pink Titans

Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 26.31Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 577 ±9.4

1325Inverse Paradox

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 170.93Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4039MakeShift Robotics

Season APEX 199.5Event APEX 122.58Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10167Jeunes Sans Frontières

Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 9.85Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5031, 9575, 5719

/ 100 compat

Projected

57 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 5031, 9575, 5719

Auto

19.9 37%

Teleop

19.4 36%

Endgame

14.9 27%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1325, 4039, 10167

/ 100 compat

Projected

303.4 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 1325, 4039, 10167

Auto

67.9 22%

Teleop

171.2 57%

Endgame

63.3 21%

Strengths

· 1325 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.53 · Blue 2.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score57pts

Blue projected score303.4pts

Red win probability4%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -246.4
Score range: 29–331
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 452 vs event baseline 156.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

266.5Season APEX577

19.9Auto67.9

19.4Teleop171.2

14.9Endgame63.3

0Consistency25

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	97
teleop	7	260
endgame	6	68
foul	0	0
total	27	425

Result

Final score

27 – 425

Prediction correct · off by 75.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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