Qualification · Qualification 57

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

248.06 – 99.81

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

313 – 130

Prediction correct · off by 47.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 622.2 ±9.8

7558ALT-F4

Season APEX 337.3Event APEX 113.3Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6632Northview Robotics

Season APEX 88.7Event APEX -17.52Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2935NACI Robotics

Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 152.28Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 400.3 ±10.4

1310Runnymede Robotics

Season APEX 111.8Event APEX 32.47Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2634The Gryphons

Season APEX 81.6Event APEX 2.81Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1360Orbit Robotics

Season APEX 206.9Event APEX 64.53Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7558, 6632, 2935

/ 100 compat

Projected

248.1 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 7558, 6632, 2935

Auto

29.0 12%

Teleop

150.7 63%

Endgame

61.1 25%

Strengths

· 2935 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1310, 2634, 1360

/ 100 compat

Projected

99.8 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1310, 2634, 1360

Auto

25.3 26%

Teleop

52.1 53%

Endgame

21.2 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.21 · Blue 0.81

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score248.1pts

Blue projected score99.8pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 148.3
Score range: 72–276
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 443 vs event baseline 155.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

622.2Season APEX400.3

29Auto25.3

150.7Teleop52.1

61.1Endgame21.2

41Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	49	48
teleop	190	47
endgame	74	35
foul	0	0
total	313	130

Result

Final score

313 – 130

Prediction correct · off by 47.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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