Qualification · Qualification 56
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
26.37 – 73.16
36%64%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
30 – 64
Prediction correct · off by 6.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 144.8 ±12.2
Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 13.38Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 47.8Event APEX 2.6Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 45.8Event APEX 10.39Rank 29Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 195.2 ±11.7
Season APEX 38.4Event APEX 5.83Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 98.3Event APEX 48.86Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 18.47Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8850, 9782, 771
21
/ 100 compatProjected
26.4 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 8850, 9782, 771
Auto
11.1 46%
Teleop
6.9 28%
Endgame
6.3 26%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 41%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4015, 9262, 919
40
/ 100 compatProjected
73.2 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 4015, 9262, 919
Auto
14.6 20%
Teleop
41.0 57%
Endgame
16.2 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 41%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.17 · Blue 1.7
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score26.4pts
Blue projected score73.2pts
Red win probability36%
Event bonus sample148alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 41%, blue 38%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -46.8
- Score range
- -2–101
- Upset likelihood
- 36%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
144.8Season APEX195.2
11.1Auto14.6
6.9Teleop41
6.3Endgame16.2
5Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 13 | 21 |
| teleop | 3 | 22 |
| endgame | 14 | 21 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 30 | 64 |
Result
Final score
30 – 64
Prediction correct · off by 6.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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