Qualification · Qualification 53

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

61.98 – 253.03

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

72 – 275

Prediction correct · off by 16 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 215.3 ±11.7

4015Jags

Season APEX 38.4Event APEX 4.89Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1310Runnymede Robotics

Season APEX 111.8Event APEX 30.17Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5719Pink Titans

Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 26.92Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 605.8 ±9.4

1360Orbit Robotics

Season APEX 206.9Event APEX 64.01Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9575Silver Robotics

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 16.06Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1325Inverse Paradox

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 172.96Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4015, 1310, 5719

/ 100 compat

Projected

62 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 4015, 1310, 5719

Auto

15.2 26%

Teleop

18.9 32%

Endgame

25.0 42%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1360, 9575, 1325

/ 100 compat

Projected

253 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 1360, 9575, 1325

Auto

63.6 26%

Teleop

135.5 55%

Endgame

45.7 19%

Strengths

· 1325 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.63 · Blue 2.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score62pts

Blue projected score253pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -191
Score range: 34–281
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 347 vs event baseline 154.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

215.3Season APEX605.8

15.2Auto63.6

18.9Teleop135.5

25Endgame45.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	61
teleop	36	175
endgame	19	39
foul	0	0
total	72	275

Result

Final score

72 – 275

Prediction correct · off by 16 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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