Qualification · Qualification 51
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
145.68 – 248.08
22%78%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
112 – 160
Prediction correct · off by 60.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 426.8 ±10.4
Season APEX 138.6Event APEX 31.78Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 88.7Event APEX -13.4Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 199.5Event APEX 127.3Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 572.4 ±9.8
Season APEX 261.8Event APEX 114.31Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 126.1Event APEX 26.43Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 184.5Event APEX 107.34Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10554, 6632, 4039
60
/ 100 compatProjected
145.7 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 10554, 6632, 4039
Auto
26.2 18%
Teleop
86.7 59%
Endgame
34.4 23%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11270, 9562, 3161
80
/ 100 compatProjected
248.1 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 11270, 9562, 3161
Auto
43.6 17%
Teleop
152.4 61%
Endgame
54.6 22%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.92 · Blue 2.12
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score145.7pts
Blue projected score248.1pts
Red win probability22%
Event bonus sample148alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 43%, blue 51%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -102.4
- Score range
- 118–276
- Upset likelihood
- 22%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
426.8Season APEX572.4
26.2Auto43.6
86.7Teleop152.4
34.4Endgame54.6
68Consistency19
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 30 | 10 |
| teleop | 64 | 87 |
| endgame | 3 | 53 |
| foul | 15 | 10 |
| total | 112 | 160 |
Result
Final score
112 – 160
Prediction correct · off by 60.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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