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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

145.68248.08

22%78%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

112160

Prediction correct · off by 60.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 426.8 ±10.4
Season APEX 138.6Event APEX 31.78Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 88.7Event APEX -13.4Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 199.5Event APEX 127.3Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 572.4 ±9.8
Season APEX 261.8Event APEX 114.31Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 126.1Event APEX 26.43Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 184.5Event APEX 107.34Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10554, 6632, 4039
60
/ 100 compat
Projected
145.7 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 10554, 6632, 4039
Auto
26.2 18%
Teleop
86.7 59%
Endgame
34.4 23%
Strengths
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11270, 9562, 3161
80
/ 100 compat
Projected
248.1 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 11270, 9562, 3161
Auto
43.6 17%
Teleop
152.4 61%
Endgame
54.6 22%
Strengths
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.92 · Blue 2.12
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score145.7pts
Blue projected score248.1pts
Red win probability22%
Event bonus sample148alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 43%, blue 51%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
-102.4
Score range
118276
Upset likelihood
22%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 272 vs event baseline 155.9.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

426.8Season APEX572.4
26.2Auto43.6
86.7Teleop152.4
34.4Endgame54.6
68Consistency19

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto3010
teleop6487
endgame353
foul1510
total112160

Result

Final score

112160

Prediction correct · off by 60.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

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