Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

261.54 – 164.97

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

287 – 230

Prediction correct · off by 45.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 526.4 ±9.8

5719Pink Titans

Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 25.1Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11270Nova

Season APEX 261.8Event APEX 112.04Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4039MakeShift Robotics

Season APEX 199.5Event APEX 124.4Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 373.5 ±11.7

8850Ed Bears

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 2.49Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2935NACI Robotics

Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 142.78Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9562Royal Robotics

Season APEX 126.1Event APEX 19.7Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5719, 11270, 4039

/ 100 compat

Projected

261.5 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5719, 11270, 4039

Auto

39.9 16%

Teleop

143.2 56%

Endgame

70.8 28%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8850, 2935, 9562

/ 100 compat

Projected

165 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 8850, 2935, 9562

Auto

25.3 16%

Teleop

104.8 66%

Endgame

28.3 18%

Strengths

· 2935 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.15 · Blue 0.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score261.5pts

Blue projected score165pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 96.6
Score range: 138–289
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 517 vs event baseline 152.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

526.4Season APEX373.5

39.9Auto25.3

143.2Teleop104.8

70.8Endgame28.3

28Consistency33

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	43	48
teleop	180	136
endgame	64	46
foul	0	0
total	287	230

Result

Final score

287 – 230

Prediction correct · off by 45.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.