Qualification · Qualification 47
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
196.77 – 108.75
75%25%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
59 – 146
Prediction missed · off by 87.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 408.4 ±10.4
Season APEX 138.6Event APEX 46.23Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 28.51Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 184.5Event APEX 122.03Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 466.5 ±10.4
Season APEX 88.7Event APEX -19.37Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 170.9Event APEX 68.59Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 206.9Event APEX 59.53Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10554, 9575, 3161
69
/ 100 compatProjected
196.8 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 10554, 9575, 3161
Auto
29.4 15%
Teleop
126.8 65%
Endgame
39.8 20%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 45%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6632, 4069, 1360
48
/ 100 compatProjected
108.8 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 6632, 4069, 1360
Auto
15.0 14%
Teleop
61.0 58%
Endgame
29.2 28%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 45%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.01 · Blue 0.96
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score196.8pts
Blue projected score108.8pts
Red win probability75%
Event bonus sample148alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 45%, blue 41%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 88
- Score range
- 81–225
- Upset likelihood
- 25%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
408.4Season APEX466.5
29.4Auto15
126.8Teleop61
39.8Endgame29.2
0Consistency42
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 17 | 33 |
| teleop | 20 | 85 |
| endgame | 17 | 28 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 59 | 146 |
Result
Final score
59 – 146
Prediction missed · off by 87.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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