Qualification · Qualification 45

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

178.95 – 86.22

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

250 – 49

Prediction correct · off by 54.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 402.3 ±9.8

9262Humberside Huskies

Season APEX 98.3Event APEX 39.08Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10167Jeunes Sans Frontières

Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 4.27Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7520Team MineKee

Season APEX 240.1Event APEX 135.6Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 219.1 ±11

1310Runnymede Robotics

Season APEX 111.8Event APEX 36.02Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

854Iron Bears

Season APEX 59.5Event APEX 43.39Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9782Wextech Titans

Season APEX 47.8Event APEX 6.81Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9262, 10167, 7520

/ 100 compat

Projected

179 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9262, 10167, 7520

Auto

30.9 18%

Teleop

99.7 57%

Endgame

44.2 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1310, 854, 9782

/ 100 compat

Projected

86.2 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1310, 854, 9782

Auto

14.2 17%

Teleop

51.4 63%

Endgame

16.6 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.05 · Blue 0.94

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score179pts

Blue projected score86.2pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 92.7
Score range: 58–207
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 299 vs event baseline 155.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

402.3Season APEX219.1

30.9Auto14.2

99.7Teleop51.4

44.2Endgame16.6

26Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	20
teleop	116	16
endgame	90	13
foul	0	0
total	250	49

Result

Final score

250 – 49

Prediction correct · off by 54.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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