Qualification · Qualification 44

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

67.02 – 138.95

29%71%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

73 – 208

Prediction correct · off by 37.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 231 ±11

771SWAT

Season APEX 45.8Event APEX 13.57Rank 29Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9562Royal Robotics

Season APEX 126.1Event APEX 23.18Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6397Romero Robotics

Season APEX 59.1Event APEX 30.27Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 460.9 ±9.8

5719Pink Titans

Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 18.57Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7558ALT-F4

Season APEX 337.3Event APEX 102.63Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

919PANTHERA TIGRIS

Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 17.75Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 771, 9562, 6397

/ 100 compat

Projected

67 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 771, 9562, 6397

Auto

11.2 17%

Teleop

23.0 35%

Endgame

30.6 47%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5719, 7558, 919

/ 100 compat

Projected

139 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5719, 7558, 919

Auto

11.9 9%

Teleop

68.6 52%

Endgame

50.5 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.01 · Blue 1.89

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score67pts

Blue projected score139pts

Red win probability29%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -71.9
Score range: 39–167
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 281 vs event baseline 156.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

231Season APEX460.9

11.2Auto11.9

23Teleop68.6

30.6Endgame50.5

24Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	16
teleop	39	141
endgame	22	51
foul	0	0
total	73	208

Result

Final score

73 – 208

Prediction correct · off by 37.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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