Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

220.69 – 350.25

17%83%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

237 – 400

Prediction correct · off by 33 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 504.7 ±10.4

4039MakeShift Robotics

Season APEX 199.5Event APEX 122.49Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1360Orbit Robotics

Season APEX 206.9Event APEX 56.75Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9262Humberside Huskies

Season APEX 98.3Event APEX 41.45Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 648.4 ±9.4

1325Inverse Paradox

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 167.33Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10554Team VIPER

Season APEX 138.6Event APEX 44.6Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2935NACI Robotics

Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 138.32Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4039, 1360, 9262

/ 100 compat

Projected

220.7 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4039, 1360, 9262

Auto

42.3 19%

Teleop

115.3 52%

Endgame

62.4 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1325, 10554, 2935

/ 100 compat

Projected

350.3 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 1325, 10554, 2935

Auto

73.6 22%

Teleop

205.7 60%

Endgame

61.8 18%

Strengths

· 1325 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.95 · Blue 2.35

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score220.7pts

Blue projected score350.3pts

Red win probability17%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -129.6
Score range: 194–377
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 637 vs event baseline 151.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

504.7Season APEX648.4

42.3Auto73.6

115.3Teleop205.7

62.4Endgame61.8

24Consistency11

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	50	39
teleop	111	254
endgame	51	107
foul	25	0
total	237	400

Result

Final score

237 – 400

Prediction correct · off by 33 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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