Qualification · Qualification 39

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

80.5 – 214

16%84%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

93 – 321

Prediction correct · off by 59.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 303 ±10.4

9562Royal Robotics

Season APEX 126.1Event APEX 18.32Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5719Pink Titans

Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 17.94Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1310Runnymede Robotics

Season APEX 111.8Event APEX 44.24Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 677.5 ±9.3

11270Nova

Season APEX 261.8Event APEX 88.59Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9785Alectrona

A+

Season APEX 330.4Event APEX 117.42Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9575Silver Robotics

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 7.99Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9562, 5719, 1310

/ 100 compat

Projected

80.5 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9562, 5719, 1310

Auto

13.7 19%

Teleop

25.1 35%

Endgame

33.0 46%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11270, 9785, 9575

/ 100 compat

Projected

214 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 11270, 9785, 9575

Auto

16.3 8%

Teleop

133.8 62%

Endgame

64.8 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.79 · Blue 2.21

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score80.5pts

Blue projected score214pts

Red win probability16%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -133.5
Score range: 54–241
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 414 vs event baseline 150.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

303Season APEX677.5

13.7Auto16.3

25.1Teleop133.8

33Endgame64.8

15Consistency2

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	43
teleop	34	216
endgame	35	62
foul	0	0
total	93	321

Result

Final score

93 – 321

Prediction correct · off by 59.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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