Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

25.31 – 224.6

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

23 – 224

Prediction correct · off by 1.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 173.6 ±11.7

10167Jeunes Sans Frontières

Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 12.9Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

919PANTHERA TIGRIS

Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 24.73Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8850Ed Bears

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX -12.32Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 742.6 ±9.9

9785Alectrona

A+

Season APEX 330.4Event APEX 118.39Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3560MechaWolves

Season APEX 74.9Event APEX 15.83Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7558ALT-F4

Season APEX 337.3Event APEX 90.38Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10167, 919, 8850

/ 100 compat

Projected

25.3 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 10167, 919, 8850

Auto

10.1 59%

Teleop

11.7 69%

Endgame

-4.8 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9785, 3560, 7558

/ 100 compat

Projected

224.6 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9785, 3560, 7558

Auto

20.3 9%

Teleop

134.7 61%

Endgame

66.5 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.57 · Blue 2.43

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score25.3pts

Blue projected score224.6pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -199.3
Score range: -3–253
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 247 vs event baseline 152.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

173.6Season APEX742.6

10.1Auto20.3

11.7Teleop134.7

-4.8Endgame66.5

41Consistency38

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	19
teleop	10	126
endgame	2	79
foul	0	0
total	23	224

Result

Final score

23 – 224

Prediction correct · off by 1.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.