Qualification · Qualification 35
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
296.83 – 86.85
93%7%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
301 – 102
Prediction correct · off by 9.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 482.1 ±9.8
Season APEX 240.1Event APEX 144.05Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 45.8Event APEX 16.26Rank 29Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 136.52Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 366.5 ±10.4
Season APEX 116.1Event APEX 2.97Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 138.6Event APEX 38.23Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 111.8Event APEX 45.65Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7520, 771, 2935
79
/ 100 compatProjected
296.8 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 7520, 771, 2935
Auto
44.6 15%
Teleop
179.6 62%
Endgame
64.4 22%
Strengths
- · 7520 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 51%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5031, 10554, 1310
39
/ 100 compatProjected
86.9 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 5031, 10554, 1310
Auto
21.2 23%
Teleop
32.4 35%
Endgame
40.1 43%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 51%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.43 · Blue 0.66
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score296.8pts
Blue projected score86.9pts
Red win probability93%
Event bonus sample148alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 51%, blue 46%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 210
- Score range
- 60–324
- Upset likelihood
- 7%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
482.1Season APEX366.5
44.6Auto21.2
179.6Teleop32.4
64.4Endgame40.1
5Consistency1
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 47 | 29 |
| teleop | 195 | 40 |
| endgame | 54 | 33 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 301 | 102 |
Result
Final score
301 – 102
Prediction correct · off by 9.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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