Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

25.13 – 111.2

26%74%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

49 – 162

Prediction correct · off by 37.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 238.2 ±11.7

6632Northview Robotics

Season APEX 88.7Event APEX -13.44Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9262Humberside Huskies

Season APEX 98.3Event APEX 54.72Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8850Ed Bears

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX -16.15Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 442.1 ±10.5

9782Wextech Titans

Season APEX 47.8Event APEX -11.19Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10167Jeunes Sans Frontières

Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 7.86Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9785Alectrona

A+

Season APEX 330.4Event APEX 114.53Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6632, 9262, 8850

/ 100 compat

Projected

25.1 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6632, 9262, 8850

Auto

9.2 50%

Teleop

4.6 25%

Endgame

4.6 25%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9782, 10167, 9785

/ 100 compat

Projected

111.2 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9782, 10167, 9785

Auto

12.9 12%

Teleop

83.2 77%

Endgame

11.7 11%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.9 · Blue 1.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score25.1pts

Blue projected score111.2pts

Red win probability26%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -86.1
Score range: -2–138
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 211 vs event baseline 150.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

238.2Season APEX442.1

9.2Auto12.9

4.6Teleop83.2

4.6Endgame11.7

48Consistency23

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	12
teleop	22	86
endgame	4	59
foul	0	5
total	49	162

Result

Final score

49 – 162

Prediction correct · off by 37.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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