Qualification · Qualification 32
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
58.62 – 38.54
56%44%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
182 – 68
Prediction correct · off by 76.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 357.6 ±11
Season APEX 74.9Event APEX -2.65Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 111.8Event APEX 31.09Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 170.9Event APEX 30.18Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 300.7 ±10.4
Season APEX 126.1Event APEX 13.94Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 25.45Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 116.1Event APEX -0.85Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3560, 1310, 4069
37
/ 100 compatProjected
58.6 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 3560, 1310, 4069
Auto
9.7 17%
Teleop
32.1 57%
Endgame
15.0 26%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9562, 919, 5031
17
/ 100 compatProjected
38.5 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 9562, 919, 5031
Auto
19.1 49%
Teleop
5.1 13%
Endgame
14.5 37%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.66 · Blue 1.3
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score58.6pts
Blue projected score38.5pts
Red win probability56%
Event bonus sample148alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 49%, blue 38%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 20.1
- Score range
- 12–86
- Upset likelihood
- 44%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
357.6Season APEX300.7
9.7Auto19.1
32.1Teleop5.1
15Endgame14.5
28Consistency12
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 20 | 24 |
| teleop | 90 | 38 |
| endgame | 72 | 6 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 182 | 68 |
Result
Final score
182 – 68
Prediction correct · off by 76.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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