Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 32

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

58.6238.54

56%44%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

18268

Prediction correct · off by 76.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 357.6 ±11
Season APEX 74.9Event APEX -2.65Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 111.8Event APEX 31.09Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 170.9Event APEX 30.18Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 300.7 ±10.4
Season APEX 126.1Event APEX 13.94Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 25.45Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 116.1Event APEX -0.85Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3560, 1310, 4069
37
/ 100 compat
Projected
58.6 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 3560, 1310, 4069
Auto
9.7 17%
Teleop
32.1 57%
Endgame
15.0 26%
Strengths
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9562, 919, 5031
17
/ 100 compat
Projected
38.5 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 9562, 919, 5031
Auto
19.1 49%
Teleop
5.1 13%
Endgame
14.5 37%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.66 · Blue 1.3
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score58.6pts
Blue projected score38.5pts
Red win probability56%
Event bonus sample148alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 49%, blue 38%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
20.1
Score range
1286
Upset likelihood
44%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 250 vs event baseline 150.9.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

357.6Season APEX300.7
9.7Auto19.1
32.1Teleop5.1
15Endgame14.5
28Consistency12

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto2024
teleop9038
endgame726
foul00
total18268

Result

Final score

18268

Prediction correct · off by 76.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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