Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 194.05

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

5 – 125

Prediction correct · off by 37 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 174.9 ±12.2

9782Wextech Titans

Season APEX 47.8Event APEX 1.39Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6632Northview Robotics

Season APEX 88.7Event APEX -12.88Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4015Jags

Season APEX 38.4Event APEX 4.8Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 377.4 ±10.4

2935NACI Robotics

Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 158.04Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5031Full Metal Mustangs

Season APEX 116.1Event APEX 16.14Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5719Pink Titans

Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 19.87Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9782, 6632, 4015

/ 100 compat

Projected

-6.7 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 9782, 6632, 4015

Auto

6.2 0%

Teleop

-2.9 78%

Endgame

-7.0 100%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2935, 5031, 5719

/ 100 compat

Projected

194.1 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 2935, 5031, 5719

Auto

31.1 17%

Teleop

106.1 56%

Endgame

50.7 27%

Strengths

· 2935 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.52 · Blue 2.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score-6.7pts

Blue projected score194.1pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -194
Score range: -31–225
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 130 vs event baseline 172.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

174.9Season APEX377.4

6.2Auto31.1

-2.9Teleop106.1

-7Endgame50.7

7Consistency14

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	3	17
teleop	0	40
endgame	2	68
foul	0	0
total	5	125

Result

Final score

5 – 125

Prediction correct · off by 37 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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