Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

70.65 – 0

74%26%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

78 – 37

Prediction correct · off by 22.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 355.5 ±10.4

919PANTHERA TIGRIS

Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 23.76Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4069Lo-Ellen Robotics

Season APEX 170.9Event APEX 33.86Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9562Royal Robotics

Season APEX 126.1Event APEX 13.03Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 217.7 ±10.4

10167Jeunes Sans Frontières

Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 3.13Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5719Pink Titans

Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 5.75Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6632Northview Robotics

Season APEX 88.7Event APEX -20.54Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 919, 4069, 9562

/ 100 compat

Projected

70.7 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 919, 4069, 9562

Auto

3.9 6%

Teleop

56.8 85%

Endgame

6.0 9%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10167, 5719, 6632

/ 100 compat

Projected

-11.7 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 10167, 5719, 6632

Auto

-3.3 16%

Teleop

-25.2 100%

Endgame

8.4 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.92 · Blue 0.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score70.7pts

Blue projected score-11.7pts

Red win probability74%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 70.7
Score range: -27–98
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 115 vs event baseline 150.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

355.5Season APEX217.7

3.9Auto-3.3

56.8Teleop-25.2

6Endgame8.4

5Consistency54

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	13
teleop	36	20
endgame	31	4
foul	0	0
total	78	37

Result

Final score

78 – 37

Prediction correct · off by 22.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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