Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

176.52 – 215.46

38%62%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

188 – 290

Prediction correct · off by 43 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 471.9 ±9.8

11270Nova

Season APEX 261.8Event APEX 89.8Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9262Humberside Huskies

Season APEX 98.3Event APEX 57.79Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1310Runnymede Robotics

Season APEX 111.8Event APEX 28.93Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 618.8 ±9.8

4039MakeShift Robotics

Season APEX 199.5Event APEX 134.07Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7558ALT-F4

Season APEX 337.3Event APEX 87.85Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9659Vanier Vikings

Season APEX 82Event APEX -6.46Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11270, 9262, 1310

/ 100 compat

Projected

176.5 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 11270, 9262, 1310

Auto

24.8 14%

Teleop

95.5 54%

Endgame

58.0 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4039, 7558, 9659

/ 100 compat

Projected

215.5 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4039, 7558, 9659

Auto

32.3 15%

Teleop

120.9 56%

Endgame

62.0 29%

Strengths

· 4039 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.31 · Blue 1.79

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score176.5pts

Blue projected score215.5pts

Red win probability38%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -38.9
Score range: 151–241
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 478 vs event baseline 146.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

471.9Season APEX618.8

24.8Auto32.3

95.5Teleop120.9

58Endgame62

0Consistency94

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	39
teleop	99	169
endgame	68	82
foul	0	0
total	188	290

Result

Final score

188 – 290

Prediction correct · off by 43 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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