Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

69.06 – 4.77

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

46 – 49

Prediction missed · off by 33.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 219.7 ±11

3560MechaWolves

Season APEX 74.9Event APEX 3Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

854Iron Bears

Season APEX 59.5Event APEX 39.31Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9575Silver Robotics

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 26.75Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 191.9 ±12.2

8850Ed Bears

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX -15.81Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6397Romero Robotics

Season APEX 59.1Event APEX 9.01Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2634The Gryphons

Season APEX 81.6Event APEX 11.57Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3560, 854, 9575

/ 100 compat

Projected

69.1 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3560, 854, 9575

Auto

21.8 39%

Teleop

32.5 58%

Endgame

2.2 4%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8850, 6397, 2634

/ 100 compat

Projected

4.8 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 8850, 6397, 2634

Auto

-6.5 100%

Teleop

6.6 0%

Endgame

-1.0 100%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.81 · Blue 1.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score69.1pts

Blue projected score4.8pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 64.3
Score range: -22–96
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 95 vs event baseline 150.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

219.7Season APEX191.9

21.8Auto-6.5

32.5Teleop6.6

2.2Endgame-1

36Consistency21

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	9
teleop	21	30
endgame	11	10
foul	0	0
total	46	49

Result

Final score

46 – 49

Prediction missed · off by 33.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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