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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
ONT District Humber Polytechnic Event

Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

281.66 – 166.32

81%19%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

233 – 161

Prediction correct · off by 27 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 767 ±8.8
7558ALT-F4
S
Season APEX 337.3Event APEX 98.51Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
1325Inverse Paradox
A+
Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 172.94Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
5031Full Metal Mustangs
C
Season APEX 116.1Event APEX 10.21Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 382.6 ±11
10554Team VIPER
B
Season APEX 138.6Event APEX 37.83Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
9782Wextech Titans
D
Season APEX 47.8Event APEX -4.73Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
2935NACI Robotics
B
Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 133.22Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7558, 1325, 5031
84
/ 100 compat
Projected
281.7 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 7558, 1325, 5031
Auto
62.6 22%
Teleop
143.0 51%
Endgame
76.2 27%
Strengths
  • · 1325 anchors offense
  • · Well-balanced across phases
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10554, 9782, 2935
65
/ 100 compat
Projected
166.3 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 10554, 9782, 2935
Auto
23.0 14%
Teleop
100.9 60%
Endgame
43.6 26%
Strengths
  • · 2935 anchors offense
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.22 · Blue 0.96
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score281.7pts
Blue projected score166.3pts
Red win probability81%
Event bonus sample148alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 54%, blue 52%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
115.3
Score range
140–308
Upset likelihood
19%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 394 vs event baseline 144.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

767Season APEX382.6
62.6Auto23
143Teleop100.9
76.2Endgame43.6
6Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto7144
teleop11098
endgame5219
foul00
total233161

Result

Final score

233 – 161

Prediction correct · off by 27 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

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