Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

132.64 – 71.24

68%32%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

221 – 43

Prediction correct · off by 58.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 343.3 ±10.4

919PANTHERA TIGRIS

Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 7.35Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9575Silver Robotics

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 8.07Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4039MakeShift Robotics

Season APEX 199.5Event APEX 117.22Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 260 ±10.4

6632Northview Robotics

Season APEX 88.7Event APEX -12.57Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1310Runnymede Robotics

Season APEX 111.8Event APEX 35.75Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

854Iron Bears

Season APEX 59.5Event APEX 48.06Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 919, 9575, 4039

/ 100 compat

Projected

132.6 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 919, 9575, 4039

Auto

20.5 16%

Teleop

80.5 63%

Endgame

27.7 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6632, 1310, 854

/ 100 compat

Projected

71.2 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6632, 1310, 854

Auto

13.8 21%

Teleop

41.6 62%

Endgame

11.2 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.83 · Blue 1.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score132.6pts

Blue projected score71.2pts

Red win probability68%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 61.4
Score range: 45–159
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 264 vs event baseline 144.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

343.3Season APEX260

20.5Auto13.8

80.5Teleop41.6

27.7Endgame11.2

25Consistency16

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	16
teleop	145	13
endgame	36	14
foul	5	0
total	221	43

Result

Final score

221 – 43

Prediction correct · off by 58.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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