Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

394.33 – 178.88

94%6%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

349 – 217

Prediction correct · off by 41.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 814.9 ±8.8

1325Inverse Paradox

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 181.03Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9785Alectrona

A+

Season APEX 330.4Event APEX 128.56Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4069Lo-Ellen Robotics

Season APEX 170.9Event APEX 84.74Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 318.1 ±11

4039MakeShift Robotics

Season APEX 199.5Event APEX 124.46Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6397Romero Robotics

Season APEX 59.1Event APEX 28.48Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

854Iron Bears

Season APEX 59.5Event APEX 25.94Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1325, 9785, 4069

/ 100 compat

Projected

394.3 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 1325, 9785, 4069

Auto

64.4 17%

Teleop

238.2 61%

Endgame

86.3 22%

Strengths

· 1325 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4039, 6397, 854

/ 100 compat

Projected

178.9 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 4039, 6397, 854

Auto

28.0 17%

Teleop

107.3 64%

Endgame

32.6 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.51 · Blue 0.63

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score394.3pts

Blue projected score178.9pts

Red win probability94%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 215.5
Score range: 148–425
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 566 vs event baseline 172.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

814.9Season APEX318.1

64.4Auto28

238.2Teleop107.3

86.3Endgame32.6

17Consistency9

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	19
teleop	241	113
endgame	70	85
foul	0	0
total	349	217

Result

Final score

349 – 217

Prediction correct · off by 41.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.