Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

82.43 – 156.48

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

192 – 213

Prediction correct · off by 83 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 345.4 ±10.4

9575Silver Robotics

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX -5.78Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2935NACI Robotics

Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 105.38Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10167Jeunes Sans Frontières

Season APEX 63.9Event APEX -17.17Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 416.2 ±10.4

4039MakeShift Robotics

Season APEX 199.5Event APEX 102.04Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

771SWAT

Season APEX 45.8Event APEX 19.06Rank 29Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4069Lo-Ellen Robotics

Season APEX 170.9Event APEX 35.38Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9575, 2935, 10167

/ 100 compat

Projected

82.4 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9575, 2935, 10167

Auto

15.4 17%

Teleop

56.6 64%

Endgame

16.1 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4039, 771, 4069

/ 100 compat

Projected

156.5 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 4039, 771, 4069

Auto

11.2 7%

Teleop

98.4 61%

Endgame

51.3 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.06 · Blue 2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score82.4pts

Blue projected score156.5pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -74
Score range: 56–182
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 405 vs event baseline 145.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

345.4Season APEX416.2

15.4Auto11.2

56.6Teleop98.4

16.1Endgame51.3

152Consistency28

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	38
teleop	95	105
endgame	56	70
foul	10	0
total	192	213

Result

Final score

192 – 213

Prediction correct · off by 83 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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