Qualification · Qualification 15

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

192.82 – 86.38

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

296 – 240

Prediction correct · off by 128.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 487.4 ±10.5

9782Wextech Titans

Season APEX 47.8Event APEX -29.02Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4039MakeShift Robotics

Season APEX 199.5Event APEX 82.1Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7520Team MineKee

Season APEX 240.1Event APEX 139.74Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 644.9 ±9.3

771SWAT

Season APEX 45.8Event APEX -27.15Rank 29Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11270Nova

Season APEX 261.8Event APEX 56.55Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7558ALT-F4

Season APEX 337.3Event APEX 56.98Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9782, 4039, 7520

/ 100 compat

Projected

192.8 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 9782, 4039, 7520

Auto

25.0 13%

Teleop

135.5 70%

Endgame

32.3 17%

Strengths

· 7520 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 771, 11270, 7558

/ 100 compat

Projected

86.4 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 771, 11270, 7558

Auto

15.6 18%

Teleop

25.9 30%

Endgame

45.7 52%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.19 · Blue 0.97

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score192.8pts

Blue projected score86.4pts

Red win probability79%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 106.4
Score range: 61–218
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 536 vs event baseline 140.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

487.4Season APEX644.9

25Auto15.6

135.5Teleop25.9

32.3Endgame45.7

72Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	25
teleop	203	118
endgame	57	97
foul	0	0
total	296	240

Result

Final score

296 – 240

Prediction correct · off by 128.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.