Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

49.95 – 121.76

29%71%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

37 – 294

Prediction correct · off by 92.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 226.4 ±11

6397Romero Robotics

Season APEX 59.1Event APEX 60.16Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9659Vanier Vikings

Season APEX 82Event APEX -12.93Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9575Silver Robotics

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 2.72Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 461.6 ±10.4

2935NACI Robotics

Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 62.19Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

919PANTHERA TIGRIS

Season APEX 58.5Event APEX -21.67Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1360Orbit Robotics

Season APEX 206.9Event APEX 81.24Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6397, 9659, 9575

/ 100 compat

Projected

49.9 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6397, 9659, 9575

Auto

6.3 13%

Teleop

21.0 43%

Endgame

21.0 43%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2935, 919, 1360

/ 100 compat

Projected

121.8 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 2935, 919, 1360

Auto

13.5 11%

Teleop

78.6 66%

Endgame

26.2 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.97 · Blue 1.95

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score49.9pts

Blue projected score121.8pts

Red win probability29%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -71.8
Score range: 25–147
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 331 vs event baseline 138.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

226.4Season APEX461.6

6.3Auto13.5

21Teleop78.6

21Endgame26.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	6	47
teleop	24	192
endgame	7	55
foul	0	0
total	37	294

Result

Final score

37 – 294

Prediction correct · off by 92.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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