Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

23.46 – 34.1

47%53%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

39 – 224

Prediction correct · off by 102.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 239.5 ±10.4

5031Full Metal Mustangs

Season APEX 116.1Event APEX 17.08Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10167Jeunes Sans Frontières

Season APEX 63.9Event APEX -24.46Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

854Iron Bears

Season APEX 59.5Event APEX 30.84Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 357.7 ±11

3560MechaWolves

Season APEX 74.9Event APEX -15.37Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3161Tronic Titans

Season APEX 184.5Event APEX 40.66Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9262Humberside Huskies

Season APEX 98.3Event APEX 8.81Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5031, 10167, 854

/ 100 compat

Projected

23.5 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5031, 10167, 854

Auto

7.1 30%

Teleop

-6.5 0%

Endgame

23.0 97%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3560, 3161, 9262

/ 100 compat

Projected

34.1 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 3560, 3161, 9262

Auto

16.3 55%

Teleop

21.9 73%

Endgame

-8.4 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.38 · Blue 1.61

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score23.5pts

Blue projected score34.1pts

Red win probability47%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -10.6
Score range: -2–59
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 263 vs event baseline 139.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

239.5Season APEX357.7

7.1Auto16.3

-6.5Teleop21.9

23Endgame-8.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	45
teleop	10	126
endgame	11	53
foul	0	0
total	39	224

Result

Final score

39 – 224

Prediction correct · off by 102.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.