Qualification · Qualification 11

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

201.8 – 133

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

459 – 67

Prediction correct · off by 161.6 points

Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 665.5 ±8.8

7520Team MineKee

Season APEX 240.1Event APEX 87.51Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1310Runnymede Robotics

Season APEX 111.8Event APEX 16.23Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1325Inverse Paradox

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 98.06Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 317.6 ±10.4

4069Lo-Ellen Robotics

Season APEX 170.9Event APEX 62.01Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2634The Gryphons

Season APEX 81.6Event APEX 41.54Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5719Pink Titans

Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 29.45Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7520, 1310, 1325

/ 100 compat

Projected

201.8 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 7520, 1310, 1325

Auto

30.7 15%

Teleop

127.6 63%

Endgame

44.7 22%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4069, 2634, 5719

/ 100 compat

Projected

133 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 4069, 2634, 5719

Auto

9.8 8%

Teleop

74.9 58%

Endgame

44.6 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.04 · Blue 1.1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score201.8pts

Blue projected score133pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 68.8
Score range: 111–224
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 526 vs event baseline 121.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

665.5Season APEX317.6

30.7Auto9.8

127.6Teleop74.9

44.7Endgame44.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	97	0
teleop	271	37
endgame	86	25
foul	5	5
total	459	67

Result

Final score

459 – 67

Prediction correct · off by 161.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.