Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

185.78 – 160.12

58%42%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

167 – 102

Prediction correct · off by 38.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 437.2 ±9.8

919PANTHERA TIGRIS

Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 15.18Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7520Team MineKee

Season APEX 240.1Event APEX 141.51Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10554Team VIPER

Season APEX 138.6Event APEX 29.09Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 347.5 ±11.7

1310Runnymede Robotics

Season APEX 111.8Event APEX 46Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8850Ed Bears

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 11.04Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3161Tronic Titans

Season APEX 184.5Event APEX 103.08Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 919, 7520, 10554

/ 100 compat

Projected

185.8 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 919, 7520, 10554

Auto

30.2 17%

Teleop

116.5 65%

Endgame

33.5 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1310, 8850, 3161

/ 100 compat

Projected

160.1 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 1310, 8850, 3161

Auto

37.1 24%

Teleop

86.6 56%

Endgame

31.5 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.67 · Blue 1.36

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score185.8pts

Blue projected score160.1pts

Red win probability58%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 25.7
Score range: 129–217
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 269 vs event baseline 172.4.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

437.2Season APEX347.5

30.2Auto37.1

116.5Teleop86.6

33.5Endgame31.5

9Consistency13

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	12
teleop	122	72
endgame	24	18
foul	0	0
total	167	102

Result

Final score

167 – 102

Prediction correct · off by 38.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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