Final · Finals 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

333.5 – 278.8

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

260 – 303

Prediction missed · off by 48.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 598.5 ±9.4

6632Northview Robotics

Season APEX 88.7Event APEX -10.44Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2935NACI Robotics

Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 160.49Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1325Inverse Paradox

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 183.45Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 753 ±9.3

7558ALT-F4

Season APEX 337.3Event APEX 126.76Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9575Silver Robotics

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 24.06Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9785Alectrona

A+

Season APEX 330.4Event APEX 127.98Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6632, 2935, 1325

/ 100 compat

Projected

333.5 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6632, 2935, 1325

Auto

63.9 20%

Teleop

201.0 62%

Endgame

61.4 19%

Strengths

· 1325 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7558, 9575, 9785

/ 100 compat

Projected

278.8 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 7558, 9575, 9785

Auto

37.8 14%

Teleop

163.0 60%

Endgame

70.7 26%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.84 · Blue 1.19

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score333.5pts

Blue projected score278.8pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 54.7
Score range: 248–365
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 563 vs event baseline 170.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

598.5Season APEX753

63.9Auto37.8

201Teleop163

61.4Endgame70.7

8Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	62	52
teleop	155	163
endgame	43	78
foul	0	10
total	260	303

Result

Final score

260 – 303

Prediction missed · off by 48.8 pts

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