Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

335.21 – 299.71

61%39%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

310 – 86

Prediction correct · off by 119.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 598.5 ±9.4

6632Northview Robotics

Season APEX 88.7Event APEX -9.64Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2935NACI Robotics

Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 160.94Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1325Inverse Paradox

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 183.91Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 753 ±9.3

7558ALT-F4

Season APEX 337.3Event APEX 133.67Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9575Silver Robotics

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 31.04Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9785Alectrona

A+

Season APEX 330.4Event APEX 135Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6632, 2935, 1325

/ 100 compat

Projected

335.2 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 6632, 2935, 1325

Auto

63.5 19%

Teleop

202.6 62%

Endgame

61.6 19%

Strengths

· 1325 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7558, 9575, 9785

/ 100 compat

Projected

299.7 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 7558, 9575, 9785

Auto

38.4 13%

Teleop

176.5 60%

Endgame

78.3 27%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.73 · Blue 1.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score335.2pts

Blue projected score299.7pts

Red win probability61%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 35.5
Score range: 269–366
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Playoff

Combined score 396 vs event baseline 170.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

598.5Season APEX753

63.5Auto38.4

202.6Teleop176.5

61.6Endgame78.3

6Consistency3

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	67	32
teleop	182	38
endgame	56	1
foul	5	15
total	310	86

Result

Final score

310 – 86

Prediction correct · off by 119.5 pts

Match videos

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