Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

341.51 – 294.92

64%36%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

292 – 336

Prediction missed · off by 45.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 598.5 ±9.4

6632Northview Robotics

Season APEX 88.7Event APEX -7.56Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2935NACI Robotics

Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 163.06Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1325Inverse Paradox

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 186.01Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 753 ±9.3

7558ALT-F4

Season APEX 337.3Event APEX 131.97Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9575Silver Robotics

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 29.34Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9785Alectrona

A+

Season APEX 330.4Event APEX 133.61Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6632, 2935, 1325

/ 100 compat

Projected

341.5 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6632, 2935, 1325

Auto

63.4 19%

Teleop

206.9 62%

Endgame

62.5 19%

Strengths

· 1325 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7558, 9575, 9785

/ 100 compat

Projected

294.9 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 7558, 9575, 9785

Auto

33.9 12%

Teleop

176.8 61%

Endgame

79.4 27%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.8 · Blue 1.24

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score341.5pts

Blue projected score294.9pts

Red win probability64%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 46.6
Score range: 265–372
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 628 vs event baseline 168.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

598.5Season APEX753

63.4Auto33.9

206.9Teleop176.8

62.5Endgame79.4

1Consistency2

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	66	75
teleop	171	172
endgame	55	69
foul	0	20
total	292	336

Result

Final score

292 – 336

Prediction missed · off by 45.3 pts

Match videos

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