Playoff · Playoff Match 5 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

88.62 – 124.96

39%61%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

119 – 200

Prediction correct · off by 52.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 241.7 ±10.4

5870League of Logic

Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 33.03Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5689CK Cyber Pack

Season APEX 43.4Event APEX 17.81Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8089Rockway Robotics

Season APEX 141.5Event APEX 37.78Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 328.7 ±10.4

7902Markham FireBirds

Season APEX 133.7Event APEX 84.73Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5036The Robo Devils

Season APEX 69.5Event APEX 7.96Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5024Raider Robotics

Season APEX 125.5Event APEX 32.27Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5870, 5689, 8089

/ 100 compat

Projected

88.6 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5870, 5689, 8089

Auto

28.9 35%

Teleop

38.8 47%

Endgame

14.7 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7902, 5036, 5024

/ 100 compat

Projected

125 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 7902, 5036, 5024

Auto

20.7 16%

Teleop

77.9 62%

Endgame

27.1 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.27 · Blue 1.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score88.6pts

Blue projected score125pts

Red win probability39%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -36.3
Score range: 58–156
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 319 vs event baseline 174.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

241.7Season APEX328.7

28.9Auto20.7

38.8Teleop77.9

14.7Endgame27.1

46Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	37
teleop	58	91
endgame	33	72
foul	5	0
total	119	200

Result

Final score

119 – 200

Prediction correct · off by 52.7 pts

Match videos

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