Qualification · Qualification 49
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
199.29 – 27.13
89%11%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
202 – 84
Prediction correct · off by 29.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 446.5 ±9.8
Season APEX 129.8Event APEX 39.98Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 133.7Event APEX 93.46Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 183Event APEX 65.85Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 226.5 ±10.4
Season APEX 69.5Event APEX 9.13Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 73.1Event APEX 1.42Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 16.58Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9569, 7902, 7712
63
/ 100 compatProjected
199.3 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 9569, 7902, 7712
Auto
10.9 6%
Teleop
132.6 68%
Endgame
51.6 26%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5036, 8729, 781
6
/ 100 compatProjected
27.1 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 5036, 8729, 781
Auto
16.8 65%
Teleop
-8.4 0%
Endgame
17.5 68%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.42 · Blue 0.63
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score199.3pts
Blue projected score27.1pts
Red win probability89%
Event bonus sample142alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 56%, blue 38%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 172.2
- Score range
- -3–229
- Upset likelihood
- 11%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
446.5Season APEX226.5
10.9Auto16.8
132.6Teleop-8.4
51.6Endgame17.5
41Consistency1
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 29 | 19 |
| teleop | 102 | 24 |
| endgame | 66 | 21 |
| foul | 5 | 20 |
| total | 202 | 84 |
Result
Final score
202 – 84
Prediction correct · off by 29.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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