Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

49.67 – 169.75

18%82%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

160 – 324

Prediction correct · off by 132.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 278.7 ±10.4

7757Atomic Dishwashers

Season APEX 49.7Event APEX 1.35Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4152Hoya Robotics

Season APEX 152.3Event APEX 39.27Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5596Wolverine Robotics

Season APEX 76.7Event APEX 9.05Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 419.9 ±11.2

188Blizzard

Season APEX 215.8Event APEX 85.9Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

76037603 VESPA ROBOTICS

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 8.91Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4976Revolt Robotics

Season APEX 136.4Event APEX 74.94Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7757, 4152, 5596

/ 100 compat

Projected

49.7 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 7757, 4152, 5596

Auto

31.1 79%

Teleop

5.9 15%

Endgame

2.5 6%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 188, 7603, 4976

/ 100 compat

Projected

169.8 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 188, 7603, 4976

Auto

27.9 17%

Teleop

100.0 60%

Endgame

39.0 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.9 · Blue 2.2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score49.7pts

Blue projected score169.8pts

Red win probability18%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -120.1
Score range: 20–200
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 484 vs event baseline 167.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

278.7Season APEX419.9

31.1Auto27.9

5.9Teleop100

2.5Endgame39

34Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	31
teleop	97	213
endgame	40	80
foul	0	0
total	160	324

Result

Final score

160 – 324

Prediction correct · off by 132.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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