Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

291.43 – 68.16

94%6%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

224 – 38

Prediction correct · off by 48.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 559.8 ±9.8

4152Hoya Robotics

Season APEX 152.3Event APEX 47.63Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4946The Alpha Dogs

A+

Season APEX 323.6Event APEX 236.44Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

781Kinetic Knights

Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 7.36Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 326.4 ±10.4

8089Rockway Robotics

Season APEX 141.5Event APEX 19.09Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3543C4 Robotics

Season APEX 78.7Event APEX 14.93Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11227Goose Goose Duck

Season APEX 106.2Event APEX 34.14Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4152, 4946, 781

/ 100 compat

Projected

291.4 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 4152, 4946, 781

Auto

84.4 29%

Teleop

149.2 52%

Endgame

53.7 19%

Strengths

· 4946 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8089, 3543, 11227

/ 100 compat

Projected

68.2 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 8089, 3543, 11227

Auto

16.7 35%

Teleop

33.5 70%

Endgame

-2.5 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.46 · Blue 0.59

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score291.4pts

Blue projected score68.2pts

Red win probability94%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 223.3
Score range: 38–321
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 262 vs event baseline 166.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

559.8Season APEX326.4

84.4Auto16.7

149.2Teleop33.5

53.7Endgame-2.5

31Consistency80

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	83	20
teleop	95	11
endgame	41	7
foul	5	0
total	224	38

Result

Final score

224 – 38

Prediction correct · off by 48.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.