Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

139.16 – 313.44

10%90%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

131 – 327

Prediction correct · off by 10.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 415 ±9.8

9589Arcade Robotics

Season APEX 61.5Event APEX 21.83Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7712ACCN UMOJA

Season APEX 183Event APEX 56.19Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5409Chargers

Season APEX 170.5Event APEX 61.14Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 491.3 ±9.8

7902Markham FireBirds

Season APEX 133.7Event APEX 108.34Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4476W.A.F.F.L.E.S.

Season APEX 284.5Event APEX 204.16Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8729Sparkling H2O

Season APEX 73.1Event APEX 0.94Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9589, 7712, 5409

/ 100 compat

Projected

139.2 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9589, 7712, 5409

Auto

12.0 9%

Teleop

68.6 51%

Endgame

52.7 40%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7902, 4476, 8729

/ 100 compat

Projected

313.4 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 7902, 4476, 8729

Auto

41.0 13%

Teleop

199.6 65%

Endgame

64.9 21%

Strengths

· 4476 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.77 · Blue 2.42

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score139.2pts

Blue projected score313.4pts

Red win probability10%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -174.3
Score range: 111–341
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 458 vs event baseline 157.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

415Season APEX491.3

12Auto41

68.6Teleop199.6

52.7Endgame64.9

85Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	72
teleop	76	165
endgame	34	65
foul	5	25
total	131	327

Result

Final score

131 – 327

Prediction correct · off by 10.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.