Qualification · Qualification 27
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
244.25 – 0
96%4%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
271 – 27
Prediction correct · off by 26.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 549.4 ±9.8
Season APEX 43.4Event APEX 23.66Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 369.6Event APEX 135.08Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 136.4Event APEX 85.51Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 217.6 ±11.7
Season APEX 73.2Event APEX 8.06Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 67.7Event APEX -5.48Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 76.7Event APEX -21.03Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5689, 1241, 4976
74
/ 100 compatProjected
244.3 pts
~2.5 RP (district)
Teams: 5689, 1241, 4976
Auto
30.1 13%
Teleop
161.6 72%
Endgame
32.5 14%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2708, 7603, 5596
6
/ 100 compatProjected
-18.5 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 2708, 7603, 5596
Auto
3.0 0%
Teleop
-21.4 100%
Endgame
-2.4 12%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.54 · Blue 0.55
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score244.3pts
Blue projected score-18.5pts
Red win probability96%
Event bonus sample142alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 54%, blue 41%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 244.3
- Score range
- -28–272
- Upset likelihood
- 4%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
549.4Season APEX217.6
30.1Auto3
161.6Teleop-21.4
32.5Endgame-2.4
10Consistency123
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 58 | 15 |
| teleop | 152 | 8 |
| endgame | 61 | 4 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 271 | 27 |
Result
Final score
271 – 27
Prediction correct · off by 26.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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