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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
ONT District Durham College Event

Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

108.8 – 72.1

61%39%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

158 – 97

Prediction correct · off by 37.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 342.6 ±9.8
5870League of Logic
D
Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 24.04Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
781Kinetic Knights
C
Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 3.02Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
10015Bubbles
B
Season APEX 201.9Event APEX 81.74Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 294.8 ±11
7480Machine Mavericks
C
Season APEX 110.5Event APEX 30.72Rank 28Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100
8089Rockway Robotics
B
Season APEX 141.5Event APEX 3.62Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
6135Arctos
D
Season APEX 42.8Event APEX 37.76Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5870, 781, 10015
46
/ 100 compat
Projected
108.8 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 5870, 781, 10015
Auto
23.5 23%
Teleop
41.7 40%
Endgame
39.0 37%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 50%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7480, 8089, 6135
37
/ 100 compat
Projected
72.1 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 7480, 8089, 6135
Auto
29.1 48%
Teleop
21.0 35%
Endgame
10.3 17%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 50%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.78 · Blue 1.13
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score108.8pts
Blue projected score72.1pts
Red win probability61%
Event bonus sample142alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 50%, blue 31%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
36.7
Score range
43–138
Upset likelihood
39%
Data cutoff
2026-08-16
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 255 vs event baseline 159.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

342.6Season APEX294.8
23.5Auto29.1
41.7Teleop21
39Endgame10.3
46Consistency113

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto3023
teleop8723
endgame4111
foul040
total15897

Result

Final score

158 – 97

Prediction correct · off by 37.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

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