Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

124.6447.12

72%28%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

17066

Prediction correct · off by 32.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 376.1 ±10.4
Season APEX 106.2Event APEX 37.18Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 152.3Event APEX 50.22Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 117.6Event APEX 37.24Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 324.8 ±10.4
Season APEX 125.5Event APEX 25.83Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 129.8Event APEX 12.06Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 69.5Event APEX 9.23Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11227, 4152, 5032
52
/ 100 compat
Projected
124.6 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 11227, 4152, 5032
Auto
33.2 32%
Teleop
53.5 51%
Endgame
18.6 18%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 50%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5024, 9569, 5036
26
/ 100 compat
Projected
47.1 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 5024, 9569, 5036
Auto
19.1 35%
Teleop
34.3 64%
Endgame
0.6 1%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
  • · Thin endgame coverage
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 50%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.01 · Blue 1.05
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score124.6pts
Blue projected score47.1pts
Red win probability72%
Event bonus sample142alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 50%, blue 45%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
77.5
Score range
18154
Upset likelihood
28%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 236 vs event baseline 160.7.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

376.1Season APEX324.8
33.2Auto19.1
53.5Teleop34.3
18.6Endgame0.6
29Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto4825
teleop10318
endgame1923
foul00
total17066

Result

Final score

17066

Prediction correct · off by 32.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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