Qualification · Qualification 25
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
124.64 – 47.12
72%28%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
170 – 66
Prediction correct · off by 32.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 376.1 ±10.4
Season APEX 106.2Event APEX 37.18Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 152.3Event APEX 50.22Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 117.6Event APEX 37.24Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 324.8 ±10.4
Season APEX 125.5Event APEX 25.83Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 129.8Event APEX 12.06Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 69.5Event APEX 9.23Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 11227, 4152, 5032
52
/ 100 compatProjected
124.6 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 11227, 4152, 5032
Auto
33.2 32%
Teleop
53.5 51%
Endgame
18.6 18%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 50%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5024, 9569, 5036
26
/ 100 compatProjected
47.1 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 5024, 9569, 5036
Auto
19.1 35%
Teleop
34.3 64%
Endgame
0.6 1%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 50%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.01 · Blue 1.05
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score124.6pts
Blue projected score47.1pts
Red win probability72%
Event bonus sample142alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 50%, blue 45%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 77.5
- Score range
- 18–154
- Upset likelihood
- 28%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
376.1Season APEX324.8
33.2Auto19.1
53.5Teleop34.3
18.6Endgame0.6
29Consistency35
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 48 | 25 |
| teleop | 103 | 18 |
| endgame | 19 | 23 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 170 | 66 |
Result
Final score
170 – 66
Prediction correct · off by 32.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.