Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

116.98 – 127.6

47%53%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

77 – 105

Prediction correct · off by 31.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 358.7 ±9.8

11227Goose Goose Duck

Season APEX 106.2Event APEX 33.14Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5036The Robo Devils

Season APEX 69.5Event APEX 11.94Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7712ACCN UMOJA

Season APEX 183Event APEX 71.9Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 389.1 ±9.8

7480Machine Mavericks

Season APEX 110.5Event APEX 3.75Rank 28Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5596Wolverine Robotics

Season APEX 76.7Event APEX 18.17Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10015Bubbles

Season APEX 201.9Event APEX 105.68Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11227, 5036, 7712

/ 100 compat

Projected

117 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 11227, 5036, 7712

Auto

20.9 18%

Teleop

63.9 55%

Endgame

31.1 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7480, 5596, 10015

/ 100 compat

Projected

127.6 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 7480, 5596, 10015

Auto

19.2 16%

Teleop

71.5 60%

Endgame

29.2 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.43 · Blue 1.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score117pts

Blue projected score127.6pts

Red win probability47%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -10.6
Score range: 84–161
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 182 vs event baseline 185.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

358.7Season APEX389.1

20.9Auto19.2

63.9Teleop71.5

31.1Endgame29.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	24
teleop	29	61
endgame	24	0
foul	5	20
total	77	105

Result

Final score

77 – 105

Prediction correct · off by 31.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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