Qualification · Qualification 14
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
104.43 – 123.34
44%56%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
76 – 75
Prediction missed · off by 38.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 351.1 ±10.4
Season APEX 73.2Event APEX 48.77Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 141.5Event APEX 12.9Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 136.4Event APEX 42.76Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 362.5 ±9.8
Season APEX 183Event APEX 63.83Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 49.7Event APEX 39.49Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 129.8Event APEX 20.02Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2708, 8089, 4976
42
/ 100 compatProjected
104.4 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 2708, 8089, 4976
Auto
-2.6 0%
Teleop
35.4 45%
Endgame
46.4 59%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7712, 7757, 9569
50
/ 100 compatProjected
123.3 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 7712, 7757, 9569
Auto
20.9 16%
Teleop
98.8 76%
Endgame
10.9 8%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.38 · Blue 1.71
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score104.4pts
Blue projected score123.3pts
Red win probability44%
Event bonus sample142alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 43%, blue 52%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -18.9
- Score range
- 75–152
- Upset likelihood
- 44%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
351.1Season APEX362.5
-2.6Auto20.9
35.4Teleop98.8
46.4Endgame10.9
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 31 | 8 |
| teleop | 32 | 31 |
| endgame | 13 | 31 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 76 | 75 |
Result
Final score
76 – 75
Prediction missed · off by 38.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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